FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. – The threat of an above-average 2010 Atlantic hurricane season has increased over the last month and it now promises to be “very active,” a leading forecaster said Wednesday. The warning comes as the season also sees an unusual factor added to the mix: the Gulf oil disaster.
William Gray, the hurricane forecast pioneer who founded Colorado State University’s respected storm research team, said CSU would ramp up their prediction for the 2010 season in a report due out on June 2.
“The numbers are going to go up quite high,” Gray said. “This looks like a hell of a year.”
Gray and Phil Klotzbach, lead forecaster with the Colorado State team, both said forecast models showing a recent shift in wind patterns and warm tropical Atlantic waters had reinforced the likelihood that a busy hurricane season was on its way.
They referred specifically to reduced wind shear probabilities due to the dissipation of the El Nino weather phenomenon over the Pacific Ocean.
“El Nino died pretty quickly over the past couple of months,” Klotzbach said.
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Do the gurus ever forcast anything but a bad hurricane season? I guess even a broken clock is right twice a day.
If the experts always forcast a worse than usual hurricane season then they will eventually be correct. They can then proceed to proclaim their excellence and blame global warming, the oil companies, Bush, Harper, capitalism, etc…..
Milch. My thoughts exactly