If a provincial election were held in Ontario today, there’s no telling who would win. Dalton McGuinty, Tim Hudak,and Andrea Horwath would all have a shot, and not because they are locked in a close three-way race. The polls are just all over the place.
Ontario is the most confusing province in Canada when it comes to voting intentions, as the two firms most active on the provincial scene are in complete disagreement on what is happening and have been for months.
Nanos Research’s most recent poll, taken in mid-August, showed that the Progressive Conservatives had a slim edge over the Liberals with 35 to 34 per cent support. The New Democrats, with 22 per cent, were well behind. This poll suggested a close race between the Tories and the Liberals and that not much had changed since the last election.